Coalition Possibilities

CoalitionWatch SA · historical 2021 read-only review
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Mathematical possibilities only. Every listed row reaches the strict majority threshold using the tested 2021 reference seat position. No agreement, willingness, political compatibility or probability percentage is inferred.

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Profile—
Result state—
Reported batches—
Outstanding—

Review stage

This resets Show and party focus. Client evaluation criteria remain selected.

The party focus shows only mathematical options that include the selected party. It does not assess political fit and does not remove options from the full mathematical set or the overview totals.

Choose how to review the outcomes

The exhaustive mathematical view keeps every valid combination and the established display order.

Seat basis and majority threshold

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Strict majority—
Party seats—
Independent ward seats—
Matching filter options—

The combined calculation basis and the resulting seats are read-only historical fixture values.

Majority options at a glance

Total valid majority options—
Party-only options—
Options including independents—
Minimum-winning options—

Counts will reflect the selected result stage before table filters. Party-only and independent-involving options partition the total; minimum-winning options overlap those groups.

Combined vote inputs and seats across stages

See each party’s vote input beside the seats it produces at every synthetic replay stage. For metros and local municipalities, the input is the combined PR + party-affiliated Ward total. DC40 uses direct district party votes.

Majority options across replay stages

Compare the exact number and type of mathematical majority options at each stage, including the approved Low, Moderate and High coordination-complexity bands. These totals are before the table’s Show filter, party focus and client criteria. The bands describe participant count only, not political compatibility or likelihood. Minimum-winning options overlap the party-only and independent-involving groups.

All mathematically valid coalition combinations

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Coordination complexity: 1 point per party participant + 2 points per independent councillor. Low: 1–2 points · Moderate: 3–5 · High: 6+. In client evaluation, the selected criteria group comes first and complexity orders options within each group. This is a coordination guide, not a probability or universal political judgment.
Use the Compare column to select up to three options for a side-by-side view. Changing stage, view or synthetic criteria clears the comparison. Your selections are not saved.
CompareCombinationTypeParticipantsCoordination complexitySeat calculationSurplusArithmetic statusClient criteria review
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Coalition scenario and evidence review

This section is a read-only workflow demonstration. It does not accept client submissions, create approvals or publish political evidence.

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Mathematical optionCoordination complexitySeatsArithmetic statusEvidence status
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Provenance and safety boundary

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This page is synthetic, historical, read-only and local-only. It has no live data, no 2026 statutory path, no database mutation, no client submission workflow, and no connection to ResultWatch SA or the IMPACT Hub. Map navigation remains parked and is not a calculation input.